John Williams'
Shadow Government Statistics
Analysis Behind and Beyond Government Economic Reporting
Gillespie Research Archives

10-Year T-Note Auction / April PPI   - May. 13, 2004


Treasury 10-Year Note Auction

Earlier today, the Treasury auctioned $15.0 billion of ten-year notes. It was the third and final leg of the agency's May refunding operation.

Today's 10-year issue was sold at a market-clearing yield of 4.840%, and the auction had a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.78. By comparison, the ten-year note sold in the Treasury's February refunding went off at a market-clearing yield of 4.060%, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.00.

Total competitive and noncompetitive tenders today were $41.713 billion, excluding an allotment of $2.293 billion to the Federal Reserve System. Additional details are contained in the tables below the April PPI text.
_____

April Producer Prices

According to this morning's release from the Labor Department, the Producer Price Index (finished goods) rose 0.7% in April. As expected, a large jump in energy prices made a major contribution to the overall rise. The energy component increased 1.6%. Also making a sizable contribution was a 1.4% increase in food prices. Excluding food and energy, the PPI during April was up 0.2%

Year over year, the PPI was up 3.6%. Over the three months ended April, it rose at an annual rate of 5.3%.
_____
    TABLE 1.
-----------------------------------------------------
               RESULTS OF THE MAY 2004
            TREASURY REFUNDING OPERATION*
-----------------------------------------------------
                                          Bid/
Auct. Amt.                               Cover Non-
Date (Bils) Maturity Coupon Yield  Price Ratio Comp.#
-----------------------------------------------------
05/11 $24.0 05/15/07 3.125% 3.199% 99.790 2.08 $0.317
05/12 $15.0 05/15/09 3.875% 3.927% 99.766 2.64 $0.222
05/13 $15.0 05/15/14 4.750% 4.840% 99.230 2.78 $0.202
-----------------------------------------------------
  *All three issues are dated 5/15/04 and settle on
  5/17/04.  #Amount of issue (in billions) awarded
  based on non-competitive tenders submitted.
-----------------------------------------------------


TABLE 2. --------------------------------------------- MAY 2004 TREASURY REFUNDING OPERATION -- AWARDS TO "PRIMARY DEALERS" --------------------------------------------- Total Comp- Award to et. Tenders "Primary" Award to Accepted Dealers* "Primary" Issue -- ($s in Billions) -- Dealers* --------------------------------------------- 3-Yr. Note $23.683 $12.791 54.0% 5-Yr. Note $14.778 $ 9.442 63.9% 10-yr. Note $14.798 $ 8.282 56.0% --------------------------------------------- Total $53.259 $30.515 57.3% ============================================= February 2004 Refunding --------------------------------------------- 3-Yr. Note $23.772 $12.526 52.7% 5-Yr. Note $15.783 $ 8.927 56.6% 10-yr. Note $15.866 $ 8.630 54.4% --------------------------------------------- Total $55.421 $30.083 54.3% ============================================= November 2003 Refunding --------------------------------------------- 3-Yr. Note $23.785 $14.759 62.1% 5-Yr. Note $15.816 $10.836 68.5% 10-yr. Note $16.844 $10.237 60.8% --------------------------------------------- Total $56.445 $35.832 63.5% ============================================= August 2003 Refunding --------------------------------------------- 3-Yr. Note $23.722 $19.137 80.7% 5-Yr. Note $17.763 $11.879 66.9% 10-yr. Note $17.760 $12.218 68.8% --------------------------------------------- Total $59.245 $43.234 73.0% ============================================= May 2003 Refunding --------------------------------------------- 3-Yr. Note $21.726 $15.709 72.3% 5-Yr. Note $17.784 $11.909 67.0% 10-yr. Note $17.831 $13.565 76.1% --------------------------------------------- Total $57.341 $41.183 71.8% --------------------------------------------- *The Treasury definition of "Primary Dealers" is "submitters bidding for their own house accounts." ---------------------------------------------
Disclaimer
Copyright 2003-2006. Gillespie Research Associates.
website by
Non-Routine Solutions