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Shadow Government Statistics
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Latest Fed Flow-of-Funds Data: A Preliminary Look at Foreign Assets   - Sep. 16, 2004


Earlier today, the Federal Reserve released its latest quarterly flow-of-funds data ("latest" being through the June quarter). The portion of the Fed's quarterly flow-of-funds data always of great interest to clients is the one dealing with foreign involvement in the US financial markets.

To get some of these numbers out as quickly as possible, I'm publishing three tables that I've quickly put together, with no accompanying commentary. Additional data, plus appropriate commentary, will follow next week.
    Table 1.
------------------------------------------
        FOREIGNERS' U.S. FINANCIAL
            ASSETS/LIABILITIES*
     (Billions of Dollars, Latest Data
    Released 09/16/04 Through 06/30/04)
------------------------------------------
           Total      Total 
         Financial  Financial
          Assets   Liabilities  Difference
------------------------------------------
 2004
06/30     8803.3      4249.8      4553.5
03/31     8644.4      4159.6      4484.8
------------------------------------------
As of
12/31
-----
 2003     8228.7      4064.5      4164.2
 2002     7441.1      3981.8      3459.3
 2001     6965.8      3650.1      3315.7
 2000     6584.9      3490.2      3094.7
 1999     5775.7      3148.1      2627.6
 1998     5162.4      2776.4      2386.0
 1997     4602.4      2562.3      2040.1
 1996     4028.3      2318.9      1709.4
 1995     3428.1      2014.2      1413.9
 1994     2909.6      1745.7      1163.9
 1990     1998.4      1388.8       609.6
 ----------------------------------------
 1985      967.4       869.7       +97.7
 1984      805.3       841.6       -36.3
 ----------------------------------------
 1980      494.2       666.4      -172.2
 1970      104.8       140.5       -35.7
 1960       38.9        63.5       -24.6
 1950       17.4        31.4       -14.0
-----------------------------------------
 1945       16.3        14.9         1.4
-----------------------------------------
     *Source: "Flow of Funds Accounts
     of the United States" (Federal
     Reserve "Z.1" release).
-----------------------------------------


Table 2. ----------------------------------------------- FOREIGN HOLDINGS OF US FINANCIAL ASSETS AS OF 06/30/04* (Billions of Dollars -- Latest Data Released 09/16/04) ----------------------------------------------- % of Total Total US Financial Assets ----- Held by Foreign Investors 8803.3 100.0 =============================================== Credit-Market Instruments# 4245.9 48.2 ------ ---- Open Market Paper 115.5 US Govt. Securities 2524.4 Treasury 1805.1 Agency 719.3 US Corporate Bonds 1606.0 ----------------------------------------------- US Corporate Equities 1710.8 19.4 ------ ---- Credit-Market Instr. + Corp. Equities 5957.3 67.6 ====== ==== ----------------------------------------------- Detail of US Government Securities ----------------------------------------------- Treasury 1805.1 Official 1130.9 Private 674.2 Agency 719.3 Official 199.1 Private 520.2 ------ 2524.4 ====== ----------------------------------------------- *Source: "Flow of Funds Accounts of the United States" (Federal Reserve "Z.1" release.) #For the purpose of this analysis, the category "Loans to US Corporate Business" has been ex- cluded. As of 6/30/04, this category had tot- al outstandings of $120.6 billion. -----------------------------------------------


Table 3. ---------------------------------------- 15 LARGEST FOREIGN HOLDERS OF U.S. TREASURY DEBT AS OF 06/31/04 AND 3/31/04 (Amounts in Billions of $s)* ---------------------------------------- 06/30 03/31 Country 2004 2004 ---------------------------------------- ( 1) Japan 689.3 646.3 ( 2) Mainland China 164.8 157.3 ( 3) United Kingdom 127.6 122.7 ( 4) Caribbean Bank- ing Centers@ 89.1 67.4 ( 5) Korea 60.5 60.4 ( 6) Taiwan 57.7 54.8 ( 7) Hong Kong 52.4 50.7 ( 8) Switzerland 49.6 48.6 ( 9) Germany 47.7 45.7 (10) OPEC 43.6 43.0 (11) Mexico 38.6 28.9 (12) Canada 30.6 30.7 (13) Singapore 27.0 26.7 (14) Luxembourg 26.4 27.8 (15) Israel 17.9 16.4 ---------------------------------------- Total 1522.8 1427.4 ---------------------------------------- *Estimated end-of-period foreign holdings of US Treasury marketable and nonmarketable bills, bonds and notes based on Treasury Foreign Portfolio Investment Survey bench- marks and on monthly data reported under the Treasury International Capital (TIC) reporting system. Totals comprise both official and private holdings. Data subject to revision. @Includes Bahamas, Ber- muda, Cayman Islands, Netherlands Antilles, and Panama. ----------------------------------------
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