John Williams'
Shadow Government Statistics
Analysis Behind and Beyond Government Economic Reporting
Gillespie Research Archives

Various Pre-/Post-Election Market Benchmark Values   - Nov. 4, 2004


There are some election "postmortems" that will be appropriate in coming weeks. At least the election itself is now out of the way, removing one variable from the overall economic/market equation.

Following is a list of various market measures, with their pre- and post-election values. I anticipate it will be helpful to have these readily available in coming weeks, for a variety of purposes.
--------------------------------------------
        Year-2004 Election -- Finan-
        cial-Market Benchmark Values
--------------------------------------------
                 11/02  11/03  11/03   11/03
                 Close   High  Close  Change
--------------------------------------------
Russell 2000       585    597    595    1.7%
NYSE Composite    6701   6803   6787    1.3%
Wilshire 5000    11075    NA   11205    1.2%
S&P 500           1131   1148   1143    1.1%
Value Line         366    371    370    1.1%
DJIA             10036  10216  10137    1.0%
NASDAQ 100        1495   1524   1504    0.6%
--------------------------------------------
90-Day T-Bill    1.95%         1.95%     0bp
02-Yr. T-Note    2.56%         2.58%     2bp
05-Yr. T-Note    3.31%         3.32%     1bp
10-Yr. T-Note    4.04%         4.07%     3bp
30-Yr. T-Bond    4.82%         4.83%     1bp
--------------------------------------------
US $ Index       85.47         84.70   -0.9%
--------------------------------------------
CRB Index       281.06        282.54    0.5%
Crude Oil        49.63         50.88    2.5%
Unl. Gasoline   1.2899        1.3277    2.9%
Heating Oil     1.3915        1.4238    2.3%
Gold            420.00        424.60    1.1%
Silver            7.00          7.15    2.1%
XAU              99.49        101.88    2.4%
--------------------------------------------
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