John Williams'
Shadow Government Statistics
Analysis Behind and Beyond Government Economic Reporting
Gillespie Research Archives

October Producer Price Data   - Nov. 16, 2004


Summary

Earlier today, the Labor Department reported that producer prices in October rose a stunning 1.7%. Excluding, food and energy, the increase was 0.3%.
_____

Earlier today, the Labor Department reported that during October, the Producer Price Index rose 1.7%. Excluding food and energy -- the so-called "core" rate, for those who think there is something sensible about looking at price levels with these essential items removed -- the PPI was up 0.3% during October.

Of some interest regarding the core rate is the discernable upward creep of recent months. For the three months ended October, the PPI, excluding food and energy, rose at a 2.1% annual rate, versus respective 1.6% and 1.3% rates for the three months ended September and August.

Last Month (PPI report for September), the measure's energy component actually showed a 0.9% decline, prompting me to quip: "One wonders where the spectacular rise in energy prices of recent weeks is hiding." During October, the energy component rose a steamy 6.8%, which, at least to some extent, answered last month's question. And how every considerate, too, that this rather depressing number stayed out of sight until after the election!

Year over year through October, producer prices rose 4.4%. For the three months ended October, the PPI was up at an annual rate of 6.9%.
          Consumer       Producer      Import
         Price Index   Price Index     Prices
Month/   ---------------------------------------
Year     Y/Y  L3Mos*   Y/Y  L3Mos*   Y/Y  L3Mos*
------------------------------------------------
10/04   -Rel 11/17-   4.4%   6.9%   9.7%  14.4%
09/04   2.5%   0.6%   3.3%   0.5%   8.1%   9.4%
08/04   2.7%   1.3%   3.4%  -0.5%   7.0%   6.4%
------------------------------------------------
          *Trailing three-month com-
          pound annual rate of change.
------------------------------------------------
NOTE: The latest PPI data will be posted to the "Data & Charts" section of the GRA website.
________


Disclaimer
Copyright 2003-2006. Gillespie Research Associates.
website by
Non-Routine Solutions