John Williams'
Shadow Government Statistics
Analysis Behind and Beyond Government Economic Reporting
Gillespie Research Archives

Preview   - Oct. 14, 2003


In early September, I wrote a piece entitled, "Stocks Aren't Cheap - Part I." The idea it imparted is evident, as is the fact that stocks did not get any cheaper since this piece was published. Nevertheless, I was a little surprised to find that through yesterday's close, the DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 were not up as much as I thought they would be, having registered respective gains of 1.8%, 1.7% and 3.1%.

The missive referenced above covered a wide range, and it was also quite open-ended in nature. The titles of its main sections were:

* The Economy

* Interest Rates

* Stock Valuations

* Does the "Public" (have a threshold of pain sufficient to get screwed yet again?)

* Political Considerations

* Bush's Potential Vulnerability

That this work was "Part I" likely left the impression that there would at least be a "Part II," which was the correct impression. I believe the time has arrived to go back and review, amend and expand upon this material. In turn, I will undertake this endeavor during the balance of this week, with Thursday being the likely day "Part II" will be unveiled. __________

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