John Williams'
Shadow Government Statistics
Analysis Behind and Beyond Government Economic Reporting
Gillespie Research Archives

January Import Prices   - Feb. 17, 2005


Summary

Earlier today, the Labor Department reported that import prices rose a sizable 0.9% during January, led by a 4.6% jump in petroleum prices.
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According to today's release from the Labor Department, import prices registered a 0.9% increase during January, which compares with a revised 1.4% decline during December. (The December change originally had been reported as minus 1.3%.)

As of January 2005, the year-over-year increase in import prices was 6.0%, versus a much lower 2.2% 12-month gain as of January 2004.

Based on today's release, the price of petroleum imports rose 4.6% in January, which followed a decline of 11.5% in December (unrevised from last month's report). As of January 2005, petroleum import prices were 26.9% higher than one year earlier. This compared with a year-over-year rise of 5.6% as of January 2004.

January prices for imports excluding the petroleum component rose 0.2%, versus a December increase of 0.4% (reported originally as +0.5%). The January increase resulted in a year-over-year rise in this sector of 3.0%. As of January 2004, import prices, excluding petroleum, were up 1.8% from a year earlier.

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            U.S. IMPORT PRICES - % CHANGE
      (3-Mo.= Three-month Compound Annual Rate)
-----------------------------------------------------
                        All Imports,     Petroleum 
         All Imports    Excl. Petrol.   Imports Only
Month/ -------------- --------------- ---------------
 Year  Mo. 3-Mo. Y/Y  Mo. 3-Mo. Y/Y   Mo.  3-Mo.  Y/Y
-----------------------------------------------------
01/05  0.9 -3.4  6.0  0.2  6.1  3.0   4.6 -42.6  26.9
-----------------------------------------------------
12/04 -1.4 -0.4  6.7  0.4  4.9  3.7 -11.5 -27.0  30.1
11/04 -0.3  7.5  9.0  0.9  3.6  3.6  -6.0  35.9  54.5
10/04  1.6 15.3  9.9 -0.1  1.2  2.9  11.1 143.7  67.8
09/04  0.5  9.8  8.2  0.1  1.6  2.9   3.3  75.1  53.5
08/04  1.5  6.8  7.1  0.3  1.6  3.1   8.8  46.7  39.9
07/04  0.4  6.9  5.6  0.0  1.2  2.5   2.3  50.0  30.9
=====================================================
01/04  1.5 11.7  2.2  0.8  5.5  1.8   7.3  75.4   5.6
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