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FOMC Meeting Outcome   - Mar. 16, 2004


As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee made no alteration today to its administered interest rates. The target rate on federal funds remains at 1%. (See later table for policy actions from 2001 through today.)

From a policy standpoint, the key section(s) of today's post-meeting statement read:

"...Although job losses have slowed, new hiring has lagged."

The above is somewhat less optimistic in tone than last time around. And ...

"...The Committee believes that it can be patient in removing its policy accommodation."

The above is virtually unchanged, and it is against this that Wall Street stock bulls will try hard to rally the market.

For those wishing to read the communique in its entirety, it may be accessed using the following link:

http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/press/monetary/2004/20040316/default.htm

----------------------------------------------
 2004-2001 SCHEDULED MEETINGS OF THE FEDERAL
OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE AND POLICY ACTIONS TAKEN
----------------------------------------------
   2004
 Thru 3/16 Meeting:  1.00%             2.00%
 Opening '04 Levels: 1.00%             2.00%
----------------------------------------------
                     Action Taken On
  Meeting   --------------------------------
   Date     Fed Funds Rate     Discount Rate
----------------------------------------------
 03/16      REGULAR MEETING, No Action Taken
 February   NO SCHEDULED MEETING ------------>
 01/27-28   REGULAR MEETING, No Action Taken
==============================================
   2003
 Closing Levels:     1.00%             2.00%*
 Opening Levels:     1.25%             0.75%
----------------------------------------------
 12/09      REGULAR MEETING, No Rate Action;
            policy bias shifted to a neutral
            stance, the first step towards
            possible rate increases in 2004.
 November   NO SCHEDULED MEETING ------------>
 10/28      REGULAR MEETING, No Action Taken
 09/16      REGULAR MEETING, No Action Taken
 08/12      REGULAR MEETING, No Action Taken
 July       NO SCHEDULED MEETING ------------>
 06/24-25   REGULAR MEETING, Action Taken:
            -25BP to 1.00%    -25BP to 2.00%*;
             policy bias left unchanged, leav-
             door open to possible additional
             rate cut(s).
 05/06      REGULAR MEETING, No Rate Action;
             policy bias shifted to favoring
             possible additional rate cut(s).
 April      NO SCHEDULED MEETING ------------>
 03/18      REGULAR MEETING, No Action Taken
 February   NO SCHEDULED MEETING ------------>
 01/28-29   REGULAR MEETING, No Action Taken
----------------------------------------------
         *Method for setting Discount
         Rate changed during 2002.
==============================================
   2002
 Closing Levels:     1.25%             0.75% 
 Opening Levels:     1.75%             1.25%
----------------------------------------------
 12/10      REGULAR MEETING  No Action Taken
 11/06      REGULAR MEETING, Action Taken:
            -50BP to 1.25%    -50BP to 0.75%;
             policy bias shifted to "neutral."
 October    NO SCHEDULED MEETING ------------>
 09/24      REGULAR MEETING, No Action Taken
 08/13      REGULAR MEETING, No Rate Action;
             policy bias shifted to favoring
             possible additional rate cut(s).
 July       NO SCHEDULED MEETING ------------>
 06/25-26   REGULAR MEETING, No Action Taken
 05/07      REGULAR MEETING, No Action Taken
 April      NO SCHEDULED MEETING ------------>
 03/19      REGULAR MEETING, No Rate Action;
             policy bias shifted to "neutral" 
 February   NO SCHEDULED MEETING ------------>
 01/29-30   REGULAR MEETING, No Action Taken
==============================================
   2001
 Closing Levels:     1.75%             1.25%
 Opening Levels:     6.50%             6.00% 
----------------------------------------------
  12/11     REGULAR MEETING, Action Taken:
            -25BP to 1.75%    -25BP to 1.25%
  11/06     REGULAR MEETING, Action Taken:
            -50BP to 2.00%    -50BP to 1.50%
  10/02     REGULAR MEETING, Action Taken:
            -50BP to 2.50%    -50BP to 2.00%
  09/17     NO MEETING, Interim Action Taken:
            -50BP to 3.00%    -50BP to 2.50% 
  08/21     REGULAR MEETING, Action Taken:
            -25BP to 3.50%    -25BP to 3.00%
  July      NO SCHEDULED MEETING ------------>
  06/26-27  REGULAR MEETING, Action Taken:
            -25BP to 3.75%    -25BP to 3.25% 
  05/15     REGULAR MEETING, Action Taken:
            -50BP to 4.00%    -50BP to 3.50%
  04/18     NO MEETING, Interim Action Taken:
            -50BP to 4.50%    -50BP to 4.00%
  April     NO SCHEDULED MEETING ------------>
  03/20     REGULAR MEETING, Action Taken:
            -50BP to 5.00%    -50BP to 4.50%
  Feb.      NO SCHEDULED MEETING ------------>
  01/30-31  REGULAR MEETING, Action Taken:
            -50BP to 5.50%    -50BP to 5.00%
  01/04     NO MEETING, Interim Action Taken:
                              -25BP to 5.50% 
  01/03     NO MEETING, Interim Action Taken:
            -50BP to 6.00%    -25BP to 5.75% 
----------------------------------------------
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