John Williams'
Shadow Government Statistics
Analysis Behind and Beyond Government Economic Reporting
Gillespie Research Archives

Latest Fed Flow-of-Funds Data (Foreign Holdings, #1)   - Dec. 9, 2005


Summary

As of the end of the third quarter, the United States owed the rest of the world almost $5.5 trillion more than the rest of the world owed it. This represented an increase of $1.25 trillion from a year earlier -- remarkable when you consider that as recently as the mid-1980s, the United States was a net creditor nation. This and other sobering facts are contained in the latest flow-of-funds data, released yesterday by the Federal Reserve.
_____

Yesterday, the Federal Reserve released its latest flow-of-funds data, current through 9/30/05. With little comment, I am passing along tables containing the important foreign numbers, to get them into circulation as quickly as possible. A more detailed examination of these data will follow shortly, probably later this morning.

* As of 9/30, total US financial assets held by foreign investors rose to a $10.681 trillion. Net foreign financial claims against the United States stood at $5.473 trillion. As of 6/30, the respective totals were $10.469 trillion and $4.836 trillion.

* As of 9/30, foreign investors held $2.077 trillion of US Treasury debt. This was equal to 45.5% of all the Treasury's debt held by public investors. Total Treasury debt held by foreigners as of 6/30 was about $2.024 trillion, or 45.0% of all the Treasury debt held by public investors.

* During the September quarter, foreign investors ("official" and "private") acquired a net of $52.9 billion in Treasury debt. In turn, this equaled 91% of the net $58.1 billion the Treasury issued during the period.

* As of 9/30, the 15 largest foreign country/region holders of Treasury debt held a total of $1.748 trillion. The 6/30 total was $1.708 trillion.
________
    Table 1.
------------------------------------------
        FOREIGNERS' U.S. FINANCIAL
            ASSETS/LIABILITIES
     (Billions of Dollars, Latest Data
   Through 09/30/05, Released 12/08/05)
------------------------------------------
           Total      Total 
         Financial  Financial
          Assets   Liabilities  Difference
------------------------------------------
 2005
09/30    10680.9      5207.7      5473.2
06/30    10468.9      5232.5      4836.4
03/31    10180.5      5446.3      4734.2
------------------------------------------
As of
12/31
-----
 2004     9836.2      5333.5      4502.7
 2003     8380.8      4501.1      3879.7
 2002     7576.8      4276.2      3300.6
 2001     7065.9      3747.0      3318.9
 2000     6584.9      3562.3      3022.6
 =======================================
 1990     2001.0      1418.1       582.9
 ---------------------------------------
 1985      967.4       873.0        94.4
 1984      805.3       836.4       -31.1
 ---------------------------------------
 1980      494.2       660.9      -166.7
 1970      104.8       140.8       -36.0
 1960       38.9        63.4       -24.5
 1950       17.4        30.0       -12.6
 =======================================
 1945       16.3        14.9         1.4
------------------------------------------
      Source: "Flow of Funds Accounts
      of the United States" (Federal
      Reserve "Z.1" release).
------------------------------------------


Table 2. ----------------------------------------------- FOREIGN HOLDINGS OF US FINANCIAL ASSETS AS OF 09/30/05 (Billions of Dollars -- Latest Data Released 12/08/05) ----------------------------------------------- % of Total Total US Financial Assets ----- Held by Foreign Investors 10680.9 100.0 =============================================== Credit-Market Instruments# 5098.7 47.7 ------ ---- Open Market Paper 132.8 US Govt. Securities 2962.4 Treasury 2076.7 Agency 885.7 US Corporate Bonds 2003.5 ----------------------------------------------- US Corporate Equities 2255.2 21.1 ------ ---- Credit-Market Instr. + Corp. Equities 7353.9 68.8 ====== ==== ----------------------------------------------- Detail of US Government Securities ----------------------------------------------- Treasury 2076.7 Official 1307.1 Private 769.6 Agency 885.7 Official 303.8 Private 581.9 ------ 2962.4 ====== ----------------------------------------------- Source: "Flow of Funds Accounts of the United States" (Federal Reserve "Z.1" release.) #For the purpose of this analysis, the category "Loans to US Corporate Business" has been ex- cluded. As of 9/30/05, this category had tot- al outstandings of $179.1 billion. -----------------------------------------------


Table 3. ------------------------------------------------ 15 LARGEST FOREIGN HOLDERS OF U.S. TREASURY DEBT AS OF 09/30/05, VS. THE SAME COUNTRIES' HOLDINGS AS OF 06/30/05 (Amounts in Billions of $s)* ------------------------------------------------ 06/30 06/30 Country 2005 2005 Change ------------------------------------------------ ( 1) Japan 687.3 681.2 6.1 ( 2) Mainland China 252.2 243.7 8.5 ( 3) United Kingdom 182.4 145.5 36.9 ( 4) Caribbean Bank- ing Centers@ 102.9 106.8 -3.9 ( 5) Taiwan 71.8 71.3 0.5 ( 6) Germany 63.5 61.1 2.4 ( 7) Korea 61.7 59.6 2.1 ( 8) OPEC 54.6 57.0 -2.4 ( 9) Hong Kong 48.1 48.2 -0.1 (10) Canada 47.8 43.8 4.0 (11) Luxembourg 41.3 43.1 -1.8 (12) Switzerland 37.5 40.1 -2.6 (13) Mexico 35.0 31.9 3.1 (14) Norway 33.4 45.3 -11.9 (15) Singapore 28.2 28.9 -0.7 ------------------------------------------------ Total 1747.7 1707.5 40.2 ------------------------------------------------ *Estimated end-of-period foreign holdings of US Treasury marketable and nonmarketable bills, bonds and notes based on Treasury Foreign Portfolio Investment Survey bench- marks and on monthly data reported under the Treasury International Capital (TIC) reporting system. Totals comprise both official and private holdings. Data subject to revision. @Includes Bahamas, Ber- muda, Cayman Islands, Netherlands Antilles, and Panama. ------------------------------------------------


Table 4. -------------------------------------------------------- NET ACQUISITION OF U.S. FINANCIAL ASSETS BY FOREIGN INVESTORS -- 2000 TO 09/30/05* (Billions of Dollar) -------------------------------------------------------- Years Ended December 31 ------------------------------ 09/30 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005* ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ Net Acquisition of Finan. Assets 963.0 657.7 767.8 842.5 1307.1 1006.1 ================= ===== ===== ===== ===== ====== ====== Credit-Market Instruments ---------------- Open-Mkt. Paper 4.3 -2.6 10.3 7.0 30.6 -34.0 Treasury Sec. -70.5 10.5 138.9 288.9 358.5 211.6 Agency Sec. 141.9 103.7 112.3 6.5 104.8 225.6 Corp. Bonds 168.4 195.4 151.0 230.0 254.4 418.1 ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ Subtotal 244.1 307.0 412.5 532.4 748.3 821.3 ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ Corp. Equities 193.6 121.5 54.1 35.0 61.9 159.1 ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ Total 437.7 428.5 466.6 567.4 810.2 980.4 ===== ===== ===== ===== ====== ====== Above/Net Acquis. 45.5% 65.2% 60.8% 67.3% 62.0% 97.4% ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- MEMO ITEM@ ---------------- Loans to Corp- orate Business -2.2 -1.6 10.1 -0.8 6.3 5.5 -------------------------------------------------------- DISTRIBUTION OF TREASURY/AGENCY ACQUISITIONS -------------------------------------------------------- Treasury Securities -------------------------------------------------------- Official -5.2 33.7 60.5 184.9 272.7 38.2 Private -65.3 -23.2 78.4 104.0 85.8 173.4 ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- Total -70.5 10.5 138.9 288.9 358.5 211.6 -------------------------------------------------------- Agency Securities -------------------------------------------------------- Official 40.9 20.9 30.5 39.9 38.5 72.8 Private 101.0 82.8 81.8 -33.4 66.3 152.8 ----- ----- ----- ---- ----- ----- Total 141.9 103.7 112.3 6.5 104.8 225.6 -------------------------------------------------------- *Source: "Flow of Funds Accounts of the United States" (Federal Reserve "Z.1" release). 3Q05 figures are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. @Although "Loans to Corporate Business" are classified by the Federal Reserve as "Capital Market Instruments," they have been excluded for the purpose of this examination, since they lack the liquidity of the other categories. --------------------------------------------------------
Disclaimer
Copyright 2003-2006. Gillespie Research Associates.
website by
Non-Routine Solutions