Bullet Edition No. 4
March 20th Federal Open Market Committee Held Interest Rates in Check,
Indicating No Rate Hikes in 2019, in Line with Market Expectations
The Fed Slowed its Pace of Projected Balance Sheet Liquidation
The FOMC Lowered Its U.S. Economic Projections for 2019 and 2020,
Albeit Still With Purportedly Healthy Growth
The Fed Likely Has an Internal Recession Forecast, But Not One to Be Published,
Other Than for an Obvious Coincident or Lagging Circumstance
Nonetheless the U.S. Economy Is Weakening More Sharply and Quickly Than
Acknowledged, Signaling a Formal Recession That was Triggered Directly by
Overly Aggressive FOMC Tightening and Rate Hikes of the Last Year or Two
Latest Indication of an Accelerating Downturn Was In Freight Activity
Where FOMC Meeting Results Broadly Matched Expectations, Stocks Rallied,
Initially, Selling Off by the End of the Day; Gold and Silver Prices Spiked Amidst
Heavy U.S. Dollar Selling, Which Also Boosted Oil Prices
Those Late-Day Market Movements Likely Will Become the Trending Norm,
As Evidence of the Deepening, Severe Economic Downturn Mounts Rapidly