Flash Commentary No. 1440
June FOMC Outlook: Deepening Near-Term Economic Collapse, Protracted Recovery
Unlimited Money Creation and 0.00% to 0.25% Fed Funds Promised for Foreseeable Future
May 2020 Money Supply M1, M2 and M3 Annual Growth Rates Accelerated to Record Highs
Additional Explosive U.S. Government Deficit Spending and Debt Expansion Likely Follow
Early Inflation-Danger Signal: Monthly May Producer Price Inflation for Goods
Spiked at a Record Pace, Reflecting Shortage-Induced 44% Surge in Meat Prices
Fed Chairman Powell Confirmed Second-Quarter 2020 Real Gross Domestic Product
Likely Will Show Its Deepest Quarterly Contraction in History
ShadowStats Forecast for Second-Quarter 2020 Real GDP Contraction Remains
Order of Magnitude 50% (-50%) Annualized Quarter/Quarter, 16% (-16%) Year/Year
Third- and Fourth-Quarter GDP Could See Some Bottom Bouncing,
Depending on the Magnitude and Success of Reopening Efforts
Federal Reserve Board Members Forecast Fourth-Quarter 2020 Real GDP
Annual Decline of 6.5% (-6.5%), Worst in Modern Quarterly Reporting, Other
Than for Likely Deeper, Intervening Second- and Third-Quarter Annual Contractions