Hurricane-Related Boost to September Production Followed
Sharp-Downside Revisions to Activity in the Months before the Hurricanes


September Housing Starts Took a Small Hit from the Tempests,
But No More than the Regular Series Volatility in a Given Month


Storm Disruptions Boosted September Retail Sales and Inflation, yet
Long-Range, Non-Recovering and Downtrending Economic Trends Remained in Play


Disaster-Spiked Economic Activity Usually Favors a Fed Easing, Not a Tightening


With Mixed Disaster Elements, September Retail Sales Jumped as Expected,
Due Particularly to Replacement of Storm-Damaged Automobiles


Hurricane-Spiked Oil/Gasoline Prices Drove September 2017 CPI and PPI Higher


September CPI-U Inflation Monthly Gain of 0.55%
Pulled Annual CPI-U Inflation Higher to 2.23% (Was 1.94%), with
CPI-W at 2.31% (Was 1.93%) and ShadowStats at 10.0% (Was 9.7%)


Fed’s Targeted "Core" CPI-U Inflation Held at 1.7% for Fifth Month


September Final-Demand PPI Inflation Monthly Gain of 0.44%
Pulled Annual Gain to a 67-Month High of 2.62%, from 2.35% in August


Real Average Weekly Earnings Declined in September and Minimally in Third-Quarter 2017


Early-October Consumer Sentiment Highest Since 2004,
Still Shy of its 2000 High by 9.7% (-9.7%)


Consumers Accepting Limits on "Improving Prospects for Living Standards"
Was Responsible for the Jump in Optimism?

 

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