Flash Update No. 10
U.S. Economy Remains in an Intensifying Downturn
Despite Headline Unemployment at a 50-Year Low of 3.52%,
Broader Unemployment Measures and Employment Stress Levels
Still Signal Deep Recession
September Payrolls Gained 136,000 (181,000 Net of Revisions),
While Year-to-Year Payroll Growth Held at a Low of 1.4%,
Last Seen Going Into and Coming Out of the Great Recession
August Trade Deficit Widened, With
Negligible Impact on Third-Quarter GDP Outlook
October FOMC Meeting Should See a
50-Basis-Point Rate Cut and Renewed Quantitative Easing
September Money Supply M3 Annual Growth Jumped to a 10-Year High