Flash Update No. 6
Second-Quarter 2019 GDP Revision to 2.04%, from 2.06%,
Was Negligible and Ran Counter to Rapid Deterioration in Underlying Series
Initial 2q2019 Gross Domestic Income Was Estimated at 2.11%, with
Initial Gross National Product at 3.18%
Yet, Manufacturing and Oil and Gas Production Are In Decline, on
Top of Meaningful, Second-Quarter Downside Revisions
Real New Orders Are in Their Worst Contraction Since the Great Recession
Falling Construction Spending Is Worst Since the Great Recession
Downturn in Freight Activity Is Worst Since the Great Recession
Heavy Downside Revisions to Retail Trade Employment
Suggest Some Recent Overstatement of Retail Sales Activity
Continued FOMC Easing Should Intensify Shortly;
Renewed Quantitative Easing Remains a Good Bet