Flash Commentary No. 1442
Soaring Gold and Silver Prices Reflect Intensifying
Investor Concerns for Inflation Risk and Systemic Instabilities
Rising Gold Prices Suggest Central Banks and Treasury Departments
Are Not Doing Their Jobs; Any Related Market-Dampening
Interventions Should Prove to Be Short-Lived
Annual Growth in June 2020 Money Supply Measures Set Record Highs;
Consider That June Money Supply M1 Year-to-Year Growth Hit 37%
June 2020 Financial-Weighted U.S. Dollar Just Turned Negative Year-to-Year
July 30th Second-Quarter 2020 Gross Domestic Product Initial Reporting
Should Show Unprecedented, Annualized Real Contraction of About 50% (-50%)
Consensus Forecasts Are Centering on a More-Modest Record Plunge of 35% (-35%),
Yet, Bottom Bouncing Headlines for Some April and May Numbers Were Not Reliable
June and July Reopening Instabilities Threaten Hopes for a Meaningful, Nascent Upturn;
Protracted Recovery Likely Will Be L-Shaped, Not V-Shaped
First Full Second-Quarter 2020 Headline Reporting: Household Survey Employed
Plunged at an Annualized Quarterly Pace of 49.1% (-49.1%), as Corrected by the
Bureau of Labor Statistics for Continuing Misclassification Errors
May 2020 U.S. Trade Deficit Deepened Sharply, Signaling Second-Quarter GDP Trouble
Both Collapsing May Exports and Imports Signaled a Collapsing Global Economy